Construction Rescues Britain
Posted: 23/08/2010 Filed under: Small Business | Tags: business concerns, Small Business Leave a comment »Britain’s economic recovery is booming according to latest reports due to the construction industry.
Our economic growth between April and June could be revised up to 1.2pc after construction output expanded even faster than expected. Revised construction output of 8.6pc – compared with an initial estimate of 6.6pc – would add 0.1 percentage points to earlier forecasts of 1.1pc GDP growth, other things being equal, a spokesman for the Office for National Statistics said.
The ONS said that the construction output growth was the strongest since the second quarter of 1963, and like then was driven by a sharp rebound following an unusually harsh winter.
“It does look incredibly strong, but there were good reasons for construction to be strong in the second quarter,” said Alan Clarke, UK economist at BNP Paribas.
“The snow had melted and the government was spending in a final fling before the election. Will it last? I doubt it. It was a one-off snow melt boost,” he added.
The initial GDP estimate of 1.1pc growth in the second quarter was the strongest in four years. Most economists expect it to represent a peak in the rate of recovery before growth slows later this year and in 2011 due to slowing overseas demand and impending budget tightening.
This is fantastic news for the UK economy, showing we are going from strength to strength in a lot of areas of industry.Small businesses across the nation will be benefiting from this too, make no mistake, even if they are not primarily in construction the improvement in the economy benefits all business.
UK Rich Lose More than The Poor
Posted: 11/08/2010 Filed under: Investment, Moving to London, UK Company Set Up, VAT, VAT Registration | Tags: business concerns, corporation tax, Small Business, VAT Leave a comment »In latest polls, it has come to light that the recession is costing the wealthiest house holds more than that of less ‘well off’ ones. This is something that should please most people as it is a favorite hobby horse of many that conservative governments take money out of the pockets of the poorer members of society. It seems this time they are taking money from everyone’s pockets with rises in VAT and such like.
Which is, of course, as it should be.
The ‘best off’ group, usually headed by someone aged between 55 and 74, with a degree, have took a blow recently losing £25,000 of their total wealth between 2007 and the autumn of 2009.
Whereas the less well off house holds, headed by people under the age of 35 with no qualifications, have felt a smaller blow of just £2,000, during the same period. Of course it does need to be pointed out that it is all relative and the percentage of income earned is probably the relevant figure here.
Clearly the lower earning households felt less of a blow when it came to the recession due to the fact they had less wealth to begin with. It is also being said that the fact that they had stored their assets in more stable places such as banks and building societies (we are talking comparatively here). As opposed to the wealthier households who invest their wealth in places with more uncertain stability such as the stock market.
This study was held by the Institute of Fiscal Studies, or the IFS and commissioned by the Department for Work and Pensions. The study was held to aid research into how households lack of confidence could shake the already fragile economy, not aid its recovery.
There is no doubt, however, that as focused as we may be on pulling the UK up by its bootstraps we must never lose sight of the fact that we are all in it together. Any society that neglects its more vulnerable members risks losing something much more valuable than cash. It risks losing its humanity.
OK I will jump off my soapbox now.
Plimco Say the UK is Going to be OK
Posted: 10/08/2010 Filed under: Small Business, UK Company Set Up, UK Immigration | Tags: business, business concerns, corporate tax, Moving to London, moving to UK, VAT 1 Comment »I am always pretty sure that the UK is going to continue to be an economic strength despite the somewhat hard times we have been experiencing. It is always good to have outside confirmation of this though.
The UK have been backed by the world’s second largest bond house, Pimco, after they changed their aggressive stance against Britain’s gilts.
This is a major turn around from the beginning of the year when the very same company warned that the UK gilts (gilt-edged security) were “resting on a bed of nitroglycerine” as a result of the nations high levels of debt.
Strong words indeed and they caused a lot of angst at the time.
But after Pimco talking down the UK for much of the year they now seemed pleased since yields, which fell as gilt prices improved, have recovered from 4.27pc in February to 3.39pc.
The bond house have been quoted as saying “We do not expect the UK to fail in meeting its commitments”. For expert investors, Pimco added: “We believe exposure to the UK in the credit default swap (CDS) market offers a valuable opportunity.”
This dramatic change of stance has been put down to the Governments plan to attack the deficit. Mike Amey, an executive vice-president stated in his bid to support the Coalition Government “The coalition has demonstrated their intent to tackle the deficit immediately, and we think that is generally good news.”
I for one am happy with this new opinion, as I believe it shows the world that Britain is making a come back from our recession and that the likelihood of a ‘double-dip’ recession has decreased.
Austerity measures may well be as much about world opinion as anything else and I suppose we must look at the big picture for the UK economy.
Inflation Up But Interests Stay Down In the UK
Posted: 09/08/2010 Filed under: UK Taxation, Uncategorized, VAT, VAT Registration | Tags: business, business concerns, corporate tax, corporation tax, Small Business, UK tax, VAT Leave a comment »Inflation has been a hot topic in the media these past six months and I believe it can be strongly linked to the VAT rise from 17.5pc to 20pc in January. This may not be rocket science and perhaps it is something we may have to live with but it bears pointing out.
Tensions within the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee will be “excruciating” for the next 18 months as strong economic data raises the pressure on policy-makers to raise interest rates, according to Peter Spencer, chairman of the Ernst & Young ITEM Club.
Inflation has grown faster than the Bank’s 2pc goal for 41 of the past 50 months and has averaged higher than 3pc for two years, prompting several letters of explanation to the Chancellor from Mervyn King, the Bank’s Governor. ITEM today says that inflation will remain above target until the end of 2011, largely as a result of the planned increase in VAT.
From May until June the GDP, gross domestic product (the measure of the countries overall economic output) growth was 1.1pc, the strongest in four years and far higher than expectations. This has added to pressure on policy-makers to raise rates from their historic low of 0.5pc, Bank policy-maker Andrew Sentance has already called for a rate rise for the past two months.
However, ITEM warns that rates will have to stay on hold until the start of 2014 if the economy is to be given a chance to recover. “The problem is that on the surface the economy looks to be inflating but once you delve deeper, you can see that the situation is very disinflationary,” Mr Spencer said.
So Britain are to hold out on the inflation rise. Staying at 0.5pc will help to build a stronger economy, even though the effects of the VAT rise are said to be felt shortly.
We’ll hang on in there and get through this tough time, coming out stronger and more prepared on the other side. Lower interest rates will help with this process and it will be a great relief to many households and small businesses that they are not set to rise. In my opinion a rise in VAT may turn out to be a small price to pay.
Small Business to Prosper In The UK
Posted: 08/08/2010 Filed under: Small Business | Tags: business, business concerns, moving to the UK, moving to UK, Non Dom, Small Business, UK tax Leave a comment »I have always been confident that Britain is going to pull itself out of the recession and it is great to see the Bank of England have stepped up to lend a hand to small and large businesses alike.
They have done this by purchasing more corporate bonds in May and June under their qualitative easing programme in order to push cash into the economy, for businesses who have been struggling with the sovereign debt crisis.
Bank holdings of corporate debt rose from £1.36bn to £1.6bn in the three months leading up to June, its quarterly Asset Purchase Facility report showed. The Bank has bought £198bn of gilts from companies under the programme and continues to buy and sell around £2bn of corporate debt.
The Banks facilities have been made use of by Corporate’s in the past quarter as concerns about sovereign debts fed through to fears about companies, pushing the price of bond issuance higher and reducing demand.
“Increased concerns about the fiscal adjustment of some euro-area member states and banks’ exposure to sovereign debt fed through into other risky asset prices, such as corporate bonds,” the Bank said. “The resulting increase in uncertainty and volatility saw conditions in UK corporate debt markets deteriorate marginally during May and early June.”
The cost of raising debt through bond issuance, compared with Government gilts, increased by 0.3 percentage points. “Issuance was lower than in 2009 but broadly in line with historical averages. Market contacts suggested that some firms had delayed issuance as a result of market conditions,” the bank said.
This is all good news for Britain and the both large and small businesses that reside here. In times of austerity it is important, in my opinion, that we highlight the positives and at the moment I must say I do not have to search very far to find them.
Small business may well prosper under this government. Time will tell.
Exciting Figures As UK Economy Strengthens
Posted: 07/08/2010 Filed under: UK Immigration, UK Taxation | Tags: business concerns, corporate tax, corporation tax, economy, moving to UK Leave a comment »The UK is showing how strong it can be, confounding experts by growing at almost double the rate predicted in the past three months. It did trigger some thoughts in me concerning the necessity of some of the austerity measures, in particular the redundancies and taxation changes really need to be as severe as planned. But more about that in a minute.
For now let’s revel in some numbers
Gross domestic product (GDP) in the quarter to June leapt at an amazing 1.1pc, the most since the first three months of 2006, lifting sterling 1.2pc against the dollar. Economists had forecast just 0.6pc growth as a realistic aim.
The surge was driven by an astounding recovery in construction and the fortitude of Britain’s powerhouse services sectors. This puts UK growth for the first half at 1.4pc – already ahead of the Treasury’s own forecasts of 1.2pc for the full 12 months.
Capital Economics, which was predicting a 1pc annual increase, revised its position, describing the numbers as “a pleasant surprise” and saying: “The figures suggest that growth in 2010 overall may now be closer to 1.5pc.”
Although universally welcomed, the speed of growth reignited debate about the Chancellor’s savage austerity measures to get the public finances under control. In the short term, the planned £40bn of tax rises and spending cuts are expected to soak up demand and kill off growth.
My opinion is that messing with the UK taxation now, after such an impressive surge in the right direction is playing with fire. The government should allow the economy to recover more before throwing their unwanted weight around.
A License To Print Money In The UK?
Posted: 29/07/2010 Filed under: Small Business, UK Investment, UK Taxation | Tags: business, business concerns, corporate tax, corporation tax, economy Leave a comment »In recent news it was revealed that economist believe the Bank of England could restart quantative easing in the near future. What does this mean in real terms, well, basically the government is considering printing more money. Whether this is a good or a bad thing, just like with VAT rises, depends on who you talk to.
Minutes have been released from this month’s BoE rate-settings meeting and showed that the topic of “money printing” had been discussed for the first time since February.
The discussion was prompted by fears over the economic recovery.
“In the light of the news over the month, it seemed likely that growth would be weaker than previously expected,” the minutes said.
In a broad debate about policy actions in the event of an unexpected weakening or strengthening of the economy, the minutes suggested: “A further modest monetary stimulus would act to offset the softening in demand prospects and make it more likely that the inflation target would be met in the medium term.”
Vicky Redwood of Capital Economics noted that the discussion was “perhaps the clearest steer so far that more QE could yet be on the agenda”, and added: “July’s minutes suggest that a near-term interest rate hike still looks unlikely. What’s more, there were some dovish comments from other members, who noted that the prospects for GDP had deteriorated a little.”
Philip Shaw at Investec agreed, saying: “The key change was that members recognised that the outlook for activity had weakened since June’s meeting, and as a result, actively discussed the option of easing policy again… We cannot rule out a further round of QE… The outlook for interest rates is shrouded in uncertainty.”
Uncertainty indeed, with the government saying one thing and the Bank of England saying another, how are the British public supposed to know where they stand? I think they need to converse with each other in order to give us an honest answer.
UK Taxation System Gets An Overhaul
Posted: 28/07/2010 Filed under: UK Taxation | Tags: business concerns, corporation tax, non dom tax, Taxation, uk companies, UK tax Leave a comment »There are more talks for the launch of the Office of Tax Systems in today’s news. It always makes me a little nervous when they start talking about changes to the UK tax system. I know how hard some of clients find it when it happens. Lucky we are here to help them.
Anyway back to the subject at hand. The new version will apparently simplify the existing overly complicated version, making it much easier for all Britons, especially small businesses.
Liam Byrne, Shadow Chief Secretary to the Treasury said he welcomed the significance of the government’s plan to simplify the tax system, but he then went onto say “today’s announcement, I’m afraid, sounds rather more like an attempt to grab headlines than real evidence of a push to improve legislation”.
He called on the government to scrap plans to “complicate the tax system by introducing a marriage tax allowance, all for the sake of sending an ineffective £3 a week signal of what his party thinks a family should look like” and what he said was a “more complicated stamp duty system when it comes to energy conservation for housing”.
The TUC union body said it was concerned the OTS could become a “softening-up exercise for tax cuts for the rich”.
But the launch was welcomed by business chiefs.
Richard Baron, of the Institute of Directors, said it was “a brilliant idea” but that it would be judged by its results.
David Frost, director general of the British Chambers of Commerce, said it was “a necessary and long overdue response to the relentless chop and change of tax law”.
I find all of these statements interesting, it is about time the government updated its archaic taxation system. If people understand what they are paying tax for it makes it much easier for them to part with their money. On the other hand the most profound utterance definitely comes from Mr Baron, we will indeed judge it by its results.
If taxation still baffles you or you are concerned about how these changes may affect you please get in touch with us here at St Mathew’s eAccounting and we will be pleased to help you see it all crystal clearly.
Interest Rates To Rise Or Not To Rise
Posted: 27/07/2010 Filed under: Small Business, UK Immigration, UK Taxation, Uncategorized, VAT | Tags: business concerns, corporation tax, tax refunds, Taxation, UK tax, VAT Leave a comment »Andrew Sentance was on his own in calling for a rise in interest rates from 0.5pc to 0.75pc for a second month running. With VAT up, taxes up and employment down it seems to be one of the few things to stay stagnant.
Mr. Sentance argued that “the inflation outlook had shifted sufficiently to justify beginning to raise interest rates gradually”.
The rate of inflation has remained constantly high this year and despite falling 0.5pc, from 3.7pc to 3.2pc in the past two months, is still way above the banks target of 2pc. However the call was denied again as majority of members believe inflation will fall over time.
The minutes from a Bank of England rate-settlement meeting read “the weight of evidence from both home and abroad continued to indicate that the margin of spare capacity was likely to bear down on inflation and bring it back to the target in the medium once the impact of temporary factors had worn off.”
This time however, there was some sympathy with Mr. Sentance as policymakers acknowledged that inflation is “likely to remain above target for some months as the impact of the past increases in indirect taxes and oil prices, and the depreciation of sterling offset downward pressure on inflation from spare capacity”.
The increase in VAT to 20pc is also “likely to add to inflation [as] some companies may anticipate the increase by raising prices in advance”. They fear a rise in “medium-term inflation expectations” becoming entrenched by feeding into pay settlements.
However, the “committee’s central view remained that the substantial margin of spare capacity was likely to persist for some time and would bear down on inflation over the medium term”.
In my humble opinion this view is good, UK tax payers are happy to keep the 0.5pc interest rate, Mr. Sentance needs to stop pushing for this and let the market settle in its own time. It seems there are more than one or two experts who agree with me.
Immigration In the UK A Hot Topic
Posted: 19/07/2010 Filed under: UK Immigration | Tags: business concerns, Immigration, Moving to London, moving to UK Leave a comment »In recent news there have been yet more talks on the immigration limit that the Government is now setting on Britain. It seems immigration is very much the topic of the moment
The Government have decided to take control, assuring us that they recognise the importance of immigration but also the strain it could put on society if left untended.
The temporary limit the Coalition has set in place will become permanent next year and will be set every year, in accordance to the needs of businesses and the wider population.
The limit we have set between now and the end of March next year is 24,100. This is 1,300 less than the number of those who came into the UK for the same time period last year.
I believe that many immigrants have enriched British society and created opportunity for all British people, in regards to the rest of the world. The economic immigration brings economic benefits and cultural diversity to the UK. This will never change.
However, the Government believes that creating this socially responsible immigration policy will restore the public confidence in the system. That it will create both good race and community relations and for the orderly provision of public services.
The coalition would like to create an effective, well controlled immigration system.
It is clear that many immigrants are attracted to Britain. I believe this is a complement to us. The fact we get an influx of the brightest and best, will only make us stronger as a nation.
